Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 10:42
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 01:36
- Radial speed: 409.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: S09W92
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 15:46
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 04:24
- Radial speed: 312.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N59E78
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 15:49
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 07:12
- Radial speed: 364.0 km/s
- Half angle: 28 deg
- Eruption location: N29W60
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 16:28
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 07:36
- Radial speed: 406.0 km/s
- Half angle: 18 deg
- Eruption location: N57E78
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 17:23
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 09:48
- Radial speed: 437.0 km/s
- Half angle: 13 deg
- Eruption location: S14W66
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-07 17:35
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 04:12
- Radial speed: 279.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: N01W60
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-08 07:40
- Time at C2: 2024-12-07 20:36
- Radial speed: 329.0 km/s
- Half angle: 46 deg
- Eruption location: S37W120
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-08 13:56
- Time at C2: 2024-12-08 05:36
- Radial speed: 394.0 km/s
- Half angle: 12 deg
- Eruption location: S29E44
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-08 14:12
- Time at C2: 2024-12-08 09:24
- Radial speed: 677.0 km/s
- Half angle: 41 deg
- Eruption location: S01W51
Inferences:
- Associated flare: X2.2 (S08W54). Peak at 2024-12-08 08:50
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-09 19:30
- Time at C2: 2024-12-09 06:36
- Radial speed: 250.0 km/s
- Half angle: 26 deg
- Eruption location: S33E32
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 05:36
- Time at C2: 2024-12-09 19:12
- Radial speed: 335.0 km/s
- Half angle: 17 deg
- Eruption location: S31W131
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 08:52
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 03:23
- Radial speed: 606.0 km/s
- Half angle: 20 deg
- Eruption location: S51E54
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 10:17
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 07:00
- Radial speed: 1005.0 km/s
- Half angle: 21 deg
- Eruption location: S53E73
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 10:38
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 00:24
- Radial speed: 331.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S59E58
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 11:08
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 07:24
- Radial speed: 905.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: S63E73
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 14:51
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 11:12
- Radial speed: 949.0 km/s
- Half angle: 22 deg
- Eruption location: S57E59
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 22:40
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 16:55
- Radial speed: 579.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N42E24
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 23:28
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 11:48
- Radial speed: 324.0 km/s
- Half angle: 13 deg
- Eruption location: N60E36
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-10 23:55
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 17:48
- Radial speed: 560.0 km/s
- Half angle: 15 deg
- Eruption location: N45E28
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 00:00
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 18:12
- Radial speed: 630.0 km/s
- Half angle: 18 deg
- Eruption location: S69E70
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 00:55
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 09:53
- Radial speed: 222.0 km/s
- Half angle: 35 deg
- Eruption location: N37E36
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 02:26
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 21:36
- Radial speed: 670.0 km/s
- Half angle: 16 deg
- Eruption location: N37E21
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 05:30
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 15:24
- Radial speed: 251.0 km/s
- Half angle: 28 deg
- Eruption location: N57E27
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 08:55
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 02:23
- Radial speed: 531.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N41E23
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 10:23
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 06:24
- Radial speed: 870.0 km/s
- Half angle: 28 deg
- Eruption location: S49E57
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 15:48
- Time at C2: 2024-12-10 18:12
- Radial speed: 599.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N41E18
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 15:48
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 05:24
- Radial speed: 355.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: S43W178
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 15:48
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 10:38
- Radial speed: 656.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N41E18
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 17:01
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 12:12
- Radial speed: 667.0 km/s
- Half angle: 39 deg
- Eruption location: S13E172
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-11 20:15
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 08:00
- Radial speed: 285.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N54E34
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-12 00:02
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 21:24
- Radial speed: 1167.0 km/s
- Half angle: 44 deg
- Eruption location: S03E178
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-12 02:20
- Time at C2: 2024-12-11 21:24
- Radial speed: 689.0 km/s
- Half angle: 45 deg
- Eruption location: S26E168
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-12 12:15
- Time at C2: 2024-12-12 02:24
- Radial speed: 372.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: N61E138
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2024-12-12 20:22
- Time at C2: 2024-12-12 10:00
- Radial speed: 348.0 km/s
- Half angle: 19 deg
- Eruption location: S46W39
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Fri Dec 13 00:40:41 GMT+01:00 2024