Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth

This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-21 08:17
 - Time at C2: 2021-02-21 01:48
 - Radial speed: 501.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 22 deg
 - Eruption location: S17E20
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-21 23:00
 - Time at C2: 2021-02-21 08:24
 - Radial speed: 321.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 30 deg
 - Eruption location: N07E103
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-23 02:52
 - Time at C2: 2021-02-22 13:25
 - Radial speed: 257.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 13 deg
 - Eruption location: S37E30
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-25 14:40
 - Time at C2: 2021-02-24 15:27
 - Radial speed: 153.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 27 deg
 - Eruption location: N07E49
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock


The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Fri Feb 26 20:07:23 CET 2021