Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-27 18:48
- Time at C2: 2025-05-27 09:24
- Radial speed: 418.0 km/s
- Half angle: 36 deg
- Eruption location: N20E61
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-27 23:19
- Time at C2: 2025-05-27 16:12
- Radial speed: 412.0 km/s
- Half angle: 19 deg
- Eruption location: S54E18
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-28 06:29
- Time at C2: 2025-05-28 02:12
- Radial speed: 790.0 km/s
- Half angle: 13 deg
- Eruption location: N04W109
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-28 11:38
- Time at C2: 2025-05-28 07:12
- Radial speed: 754.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N09W124
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 12:07
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 00:36
- Radial speed: 300.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: N44W71
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 12:26
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 08:00
- Radial speed: 803.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N10W62
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 13:28
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 06:38
- Radial speed: 502.0 km/s
- Half angle: 34 deg
- Eruption location: N01E24
Inferences:
- Associated flare: C1.5 (N05E11). Peak at 2025-05-30 05:31
Predictions for Earth:
- In-situ shock speed: 553.27 km/s
- Shock arrival time: 2025-06-02 06:13 (i.e. predicted transit time: 71.60 hours)
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 13:52
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 06:53
- Radial speed: 473.0 km/s
- Half angle: 16 deg
- Eruption location: S50E11
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 17:07
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 10:23
- Radial speed: 534.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S04W126
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-30 19:16
- Time at C2: 2025-05-30 12:53
- Radial speed: 506.0 km/s
- Half angle: 26 deg
- Eruption location: S26E22
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 01:13
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 00:15
- Radial speed: 2371.0 km/s
- Half angle: 45 deg
- Eruption location: N07W05
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- In-situ shock speed: 1117.30 km/s
- Shock arrival time: 2025-06-01 10:19 (i.e. predicted transit time: 34.07 hours)
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 02:32
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 00:15
- Radial speed: 1302.0 km/s
- Half angle: 47 deg
- Eruption location: N08E09
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- In-situ shock speed: 796.60 km/s
- Shock arrival time: 2025-06-02 00:42 (i.e. predicted transit time: 48.45 hours)
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 09:33
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 03:24
- Radial speed: 594.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N11E63
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 14:22
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 09:00
- Radial speed: 588.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N01E48
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 14:50
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 04:48
- Radial speed: 351.0 km/s
- Half angle: 17 deg
- Eruption location: N11E59
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 15:14
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 07:12
- Radial speed: 404.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: S25E06
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 19:29
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 14:23
- Radial speed: 680.0 km/s
- Half angle: 35 deg
- Eruption location: N04W00
Inferences:
- Associated flare: C6.5 (N10E00). Peak at 2025-05-31 13:21
Predictions for Earth:
- In-situ shock speed: 606.90 km/s
- Shock arrival time: 2025-06-03 07:06 (i.e. predicted transit time: 64.72 hours)
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-05-31 20:27
- Time at C2: 2025-05-31 11:53
- Radial speed: 408.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S16E39
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-01 22:52
- Time at C2: 2025-06-01 18:00
- Radial speed: 609.0 km/s
- Half angle: 19 deg
- Eruption location: S26W100
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-02 14:40
- Time at C2: 2025-06-02 07:12
- Radial speed: 482.0 km/s
- Half angle: 29 deg
- Eruption location: N37W100
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Mon Jun 02 17:37:22 CEST 2025