Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth

This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-06-09 19:28
 - Time at C2: 2021-06-09 12:24
 - Radial speed: 544.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 31 deg
 - Eruption location: N06W105
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-06-10 16:19
 - Time at C2: 2021-06-10 09:36
 - Radial speed: 559.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 27 deg
 - Eruption location: N11W116
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-06-10 21:58
 - Time at C2: 2021-06-10 18:23
 - Radial speed: 1002.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 34 deg
 - Eruption location: N12E122
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-06-10 23:27
 - Time at C2: 2021-06-10 18:36
 - Radial speed: 725.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 29 deg
 - Eruption location: S15E128
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock


The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Sun Jun 13 07:59:10 CEST 2021