Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-11 14:01
- Time at C2: 2025-07-11 09:53
- Radial speed: 733.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: S33E163
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-12 13:52
- Time at C2: 2025-07-12 08:00
- Radial speed: 595.0 km/s
- Half angle: 21 deg
- Eruption location: S29W66
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-12 19:12
- Time at C2: 2025-07-12 15:36
- Radial speed: 924.0 km/s
- Half angle: 20 deg
- Eruption location: N27E53
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-13 07:55
- Time at C2: 2025-07-12 15:12
- Radial speed: 218.0 km/s
- Half angle: 40 deg
- Eruption location: S30W95
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-13 21:52
- Time at C2: 2025-07-13 13:25
- Radial speed: 402.0 km/s
- Half angle: 32 deg
- Eruption location: N76W54
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-14 04:47
- Time at C2: 2025-07-13 18:36
- Radial speed: 316.0 km/s
- Half angle: 18 deg
- Eruption location: S39W95
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-14 05:50
- Time at C2: 2025-07-13 22:12
- Radial speed: 474.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: N14W87
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-14 07:07
- Time at C2: 2025-07-13 19:24
- Radial speed: 336.0 km/s
- Half angle: 28 deg
- Eruption location: N29W109
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-14 09:32
- Time at C2: 2025-07-14 03:36
- Radial speed: 390.0 km/s
- Half angle: 26 deg
- Eruption location: N27W114
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 00:48
- Time at C2: 2025-07-14 14:36
- Radial speed: 358.0 km/s
- Half angle: 42 deg
- Eruption location: S29W85
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 07:49
- Time at C2: 2025-07-14 21:24
- Radial speed: 450.0 km/s
- Half angle: 48 deg
- Eruption location: S32W110
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 10:20
- Time at C2: 2025-07-14 19:38
- Radial speed: 244.0 km/s
- Half angle: 26 deg
- Eruption location: S82W64
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 14:09
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 06:24
- Radial speed: 471.0 km/s
- Half angle: 21 deg
- Eruption location: S04W107
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 15:33
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 07:24
- Radial speed: 574.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: N54E47
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 16:57
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 08:00
- Radial speed: 414.0 km/s
- Half angle: 12 deg
- Eruption location: N07E70
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 17:12
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 08:48
- Radial speed: 437.0 km/s
- Half angle: 26 deg
- Eruption location: S05W111
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-15 18:30
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 11:23
- Radial speed: 468.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: N02W111
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-16 03:02
- Time at C2: 2025-07-15 16:53
- Radial speed: 310.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: S10W129
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-16 09:41
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 02:00
- Radial speed: 498.0 km/s
- Half angle: 14 deg
- Eruption location: N04W124
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-16 12:54
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 05:12
- Radial speed: 470.0 km/s
- Half angle: 16 deg
- Eruption location: N04W118
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-16 18:28
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 10:23
- Radial speed: 408.0 km/s
- Half angle: 14 deg
- Eruption location: N04W124
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-17 00:51
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 17:36
- Radial speed: 498.0 km/s
- Half angle: 29 deg
- Eruption location: N25W124
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-17 03:55
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 19:12
- Radial speed: 402.0 km/s
- Half angle: 15 deg
- Eruption location: S33W139
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-07-17 06:50
- Time at C2: 2025-07-16 20:36
- Radial speed: 325.0 km/s
- Half angle: 29 deg
- Eruption location: S82W175
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Thu Jul 17 09:53:35 CEST 2025