Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-24 22:56
- Time at C2: 2025-06-24 18:36
- Radial speed: 840.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S10W111
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 02:22
- Time at C2: 2025-06-24 22:08
- Radial speed: 717.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S09W112
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 04:05
- Time at C2: 2025-06-24 23:48
- Radial speed: 774.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S12W110
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 07:57
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 04:24
- Radial speed: 915.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N39W148
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 09:46
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 06:36
- Radial speed: 1090.0 km/s
- Half angle: 13 deg
- Eruption location: S14W110
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 11:40
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 04:36
- Radial speed: 479.0 km/s
- Half angle: 15 deg
- Eruption location: S09E97
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-25 20:15
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 14:23
- Radial speed: 525.0 km/s
- Half angle: 15 deg
- Eruption location: N46W87
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 03:20
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 21:12
- Radial speed: 501.0 km/s
- Half angle: 17 deg
- Eruption location: S32E09
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 04:50
- Time at C2: 2025-06-25 19:45
- Radial speed: 447.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N30W75
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 17:13
- Time at C2: 2025-06-26 01:48
- Radial speed: 277.0 km/s
- Half angle: 30 deg
- Eruption location: N37W68
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 17:16
- Time at C2: 2025-06-26 13:38
- Radial speed: 940.0 km/s
- Half angle: 16 deg
- Eruption location: S10W117
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 17:18
- Time at C2: 2025-06-26 09:48
- Radial speed: 454.0 km/s
- Half angle: 42 deg
- Eruption location: N41W76
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-26 22:02
- Time at C2: 2025-06-26 17:53
- Radial speed: 772.0 km/s
- Half angle: 17 deg
- Eruption location: S10W127
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-27 15:26
- Time at C2: 2025-06-27 12:12
- Radial speed: 1000.0 km/s
- Half angle: 28 deg
- Eruption location: N43W59
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-27 21:51
- Time at C2: 2025-06-27 11:00
- Radial speed: 307.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: S25W07
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-28 16:05
- Time at C2: 2025-06-28 06:36
- Radial speed: 361.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N23E49
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-29 01:56
- Time at C2: 2025-06-28 18:24
- Radial speed: 437.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: S45W17
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-29 02:07
- Time at C2: 2025-06-28 21:00
- Radial speed: 589.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: N05W09
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- In-situ shock speed: 582.70 km/s
- Shock arrival time: 2025-07-01 16:39 (i.e. predicted transit time: 67.65 hours)
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-29 04:14
- Time at C2: 2025-06-28 20:24
- Radial speed: 433.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: S39W40
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-29 18:26
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 12:12
- Radial speed: 511.0 km/s
- Half angle: 10 deg
- Eruption location: N10E41
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-29 21:19
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 11:36
- Radial speed: 358.0 km/s
- Half angle: 18 deg
- Eruption location: N40W129
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-30 01:01
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 15:36
- Radial speed: 504.0 km/s
- Half angle: 35 deg
- Eruption location: S03W141
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-30 01:12
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 19:00
- Radial speed: 562.0 km/s
- Half angle: 19 deg
- Eruption location: N61W117
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-30 06:01
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 17:24
- Radial speed: 331.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: S03W117
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-30 06:01
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 17:24
- Radial speed: 331.0 km/s
- Half angle: 25 deg
- Eruption location: S03W117
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-06-30 10:27
- Time at C2: 2025-06-29 18:36
- Radial speed: 266.0 km/s
- Half angle: 30 deg
- Eruption location: N54W90
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Mon Jun 30 20:00:25 CEST 2025