Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-05 10:10
- Time at C2: 2023-12-05 00:12
- Radial speed: 365.0 km/s
- Half angle: 29 deg
- Eruption location: S27W90
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-05 14:08
- Time at C2: 2023-12-05 07:48
- Radial speed: 619.0 km/s
- Half angle: 45 deg
- Eruption location: S22W95
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-05 21:38
- Time at C2: 2023-12-05 12:24
- Radial speed: 384.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: N23E90
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-06 03:38
- Time at C2: 2023-12-05 16:00
- Radial speed: 314.0 km/s
- Half angle: 31 deg
- Eruption location: S27W95
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-06 04:29
- Time at C2: 2023-12-06 00:12
- Radial speed: 810.0 km/s
- Half angle: 24 deg
- Eruption location: N43W01
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-06 14:35
- Time at C2: 2023-12-06 08:12
- Radial speed: 506.0 km/s
- Half angle: 17 deg
- Eruption location: N24W07
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 05:18
- Time at C2: 2023-12-06 18:48
- Radial speed: 460.0 km/s
- Half angle: 32 deg
- Eruption location: N26E85
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 08:56
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 00:48
- Radial speed: 500.0 km/s
- Half angle: 39 deg
- Eruption location: N82W180
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 12:34
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 03:36
- Radial speed: 371.0 km/s
- Half angle: 23 deg
- Eruption location: N13E39
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 15:11
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 06:24
- Radial speed: 401.0 km/s
- Half angle: 40 deg
- Eruption location: S17W115
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 15:49
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 13:36
- Radial speed: 1257.0 km/s
- Half angle: 45 deg
- Eruption location: S01W170
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-07 16:42
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 13:36
- Radial speed: 966.0 km/s
- Half angle: 37 deg
- Eruption location: N16W163
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 04:31
- Time at C2: 2023-12-07 21:09
- Radial speed: 480.0 km/s
- Half angle: 47 deg
- Eruption location: S47W90
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 08:04
- Time at C2: 2023-12-08 02:00
- Radial speed: 561.0 km/s
- Half angle: 21 deg
- Eruption location: S55W100
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 12:43
- Time at C2: 2023-12-08 04:17
- Radial speed: 374.0 km/s
- Half angle: 33 deg
- Eruption location: N71W46
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 13:09
- Time at C2: 2023-12-08 02:24
- Radial speed: 345.0 km/s
- Half angle: 30 deg
- Eruption location: S16W109
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 20:51
- Time at C2: 2023-12-08 16:24
- Radial speed: 779.0 km/s
- Half angle: 51 deg
- Eruption location: N29W162
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-12-08 21:38
- Time at C2: 2023-12-08 16:24
- Radial speed: 650.0 km/s
- Half angle: 40 deg
- Eruption location: N31W160
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Sat Dec 09 20:07:19 CET 2023