Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth
This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-21 08:17
- Time at C2: 2021-02-21 01:48
- Radial speed: 501.0 km/s
- Half angle: 22 deg
- Eruption location: S17E20
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-21 23:00
- Time at C2: 2021-02-21 08:24
- Radial speed: 321.0 km/s
- Half angle: 30 deg
- Eruption location: N07E103
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-23 02:52
- Time at C2: 2021-02-22 13:25
- Radial speed: 257.0 km/s
- Half angle: 13 deg
- Eruption location: S37E30
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2021-02-25 14:40
- Time at C2: 2021-02-24 15:27
- Radial speed: 153.0 km/s
- Half angle: 27 deg
- Eruption location: N07E49
Inferences:
- No flare association was found
Predictions for Earth:
- No shock
The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Fri Feb 26 20:07:23 CET 2021