Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth

This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-03-31 06:09
 - Time at C2: 2025-03-31 00:00
 - Radial speed: 548.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 12 deg
 - Eruption location: S31E65
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-02 18:39
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-02 09:24
 - Radial speed: 406.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 10 deg
 - Eruption location: N55E106
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-03 07:46
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-03 04:12
 - Radial speed: 838.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 19 deg
 - Eruption location: S35E07
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-03 21:45
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-03 07:48
 - Radial speed: 258.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 25 deg
 - Eruption location: N46W17
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-03 22:15
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-03 18:24
 - Radial speed: 884.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 27 deg
 - Eruption location: S10E70
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-04 08:03
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-04 03:24
 - Radial speed: 701.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 21 deg
 - Eruption location: N06E107
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-04 17:03
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-04 07:12
 - Radial speed: 370.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 10 deg
 - Eruption location: S10W101
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-04 19:42
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-04 16:36
 - Radial speed: 1000.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 27 deg
 - Eruption location: N81W92
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-04 20:29
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-04 15:12
 - Radial speed: 651.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 16 deg
 - Eruption location: S62W25
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-05 07:01
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-05 02:24
 - Radial speed: 784.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 18 deg
 - Eruption location: S09W110
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-05 08:39
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-04 18:00
 - Radial speed: 236.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 32 deg
 - Eruption location: N40W97
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-05 10:41
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-05 06:36
 - Radial speed: 749.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 34 deg
 - Eruption location: N08E133
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2025-04-05 11:31
 - Time at C2: 2025-04-05 04:00
 - Radial speed: 539.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 36 deg
 - Eruption location: S01E110
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock


The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Sun Apr 06 00:00:49 GMT+01:00 2025