Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth

This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-25 05:22
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-24 22:12
 - Radial speed: 542.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 34 deg
 - Eruption location: N28W112
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-26 06:20
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-25 20:48
 - Radial speed: 422.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 20 deg
 - Eruption location: S43E122
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-26 12:03
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-26 05:24
 - Radial speed: 518.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 18 deg
 - Eruption location: S34E35
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-26 21:02
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-26 13:00
 - Radial speed: 446.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 19 deg
 - Eruption location: N68E136
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-27 06:27
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-26 15:48
 - Radial speed: 252.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 31 deg
 - Eruption location: N20W28
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-27 13:58
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-27 07:36
 - Radial speed: 561.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 20 deg
 - Eruption location: S23W119
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-27 18:49
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-27 14:24
 - Radial speed: 757.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 13 deg
 - Eruption location: S38W68
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-28 03:17
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-27 14:12
 - Radial speed: 253.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 14 deg
 - Eruption location: N25E114
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-03-28 06:26
 - Time at C2: 2023-03-27 23:48
 - Radial speed: 567.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 37 deg
 - Eruption location: N25W100
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock


The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Wed Mar 29 00:01:51 CEST 2023