Predictions of shock arrival times at the Earth

This page shows the predictions triggered by the CMEs observed at 21.5 Rs. CME data was retrieved from the NASA's DONKI system during the last fours days.

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-18 16:23
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-18 10:00
 - Radial speed: 512.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 16 deg
 - Eruption location: S03E78
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-18 23:42
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-18 19:48
 - Radial speed: 934.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 50 deg
 - Eruption location: N21E76
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-21 01:24
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-20 16:48
 - Radial speed: 454.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 27 deg
 - Eruption location: N00E87
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-21 02:47
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-20 22:09
 - Radial speed: 719.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 34 deg
 - Eruption location: N34E10
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-21 07:26
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-20 22:30
 - Radial speed: 364.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 16 deg
 - Eruption location: N16W78
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock

CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2017-04-23 09:33
 - Time at C2: 2017-04-23 06:00
 - Radial speed: 911.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 23 deg
 - Eruption location: S03E66
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - No shock


The model used for predicting the interplanetary shock propagation was SARM (Núñez et al., Space Weather, 2016).
Last update: Sun Apr 23 21:36:02 CEST 2017